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The 2026 MLB Lockout Desk

Baseball's collective bargaining agreement expires December 1, 2026. A lockout is expected the moment it does. This desk tracks the biggest business fight in sports — what each side wants, where the talks stand, and what it means for the 2027 season.

The Definitive Piece · New Oct 25

The Hundred-Year War

Our full lockout breakdown — every legal precedent from 1922 forward, the collusion verdicts, the money maneuvers, the charts. This is the reference piece for the whole winter.

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The Date

DEC 1, 2026

The current CBA expires. Everything on this desk counts down to — and then past — that date.

The Core Fight

Cap vs. floor

Payroll disparity is the argument. Ownership's push for cost certainty meets the union's century-long refusal of a salary cap — and the floor question neither side can dodge.

The Stakes

The 2027 season

The 2021–22 lockout lasted 99 days and the season survived. 1994 did not. Which history repeats is decided at the bargaining table, not the ballpark.

The timeline we're covering

WhenWhat
1922The Supreme Court's Federal Baseball decision hands MLB its antitrust exemption — the legal bedrock under the whole business. (Front Office Blueprint, Episode 1.)
1994–95A players' strike cancels the World Series — the cautionary tale every negotiator on both sides grew up with.
2021–22Ownership locks the players out for 99 days. A deal lands in time to save the full 162-game season.
Dec 1, 2026The current CBA expires. A lockout is expected to follow immediately: transactions freeze, team facilities close to players, the business of baseball stops until there's a deal.
Feb–Mar 2027Spring training and Opening Day become the real deadlines — the calendar pressure that historically forces a deal.

Start with the primer

Article 002

The 2026 MLB Lockout: the business fight that could stop baseball

Our introduction to the fight — the money, the history, and the dates that decide whether 2027 starts on time.

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This desk updates as the story develops. Writers covering labor, law or the business of baseball — the Join the Team page is open.